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Could bitcoin drop to 31 k? analyzing historical trends

BTC Price Predictions | Users Debate Potential Bottom Amid Bear Market

By

TomΓ‘s FernΓ‘ndez

Nov 24, 2025, 08:11 AM

2 minutes to read

Graph showing Bitcoin's price trends with a focus on potential drop to 31,000
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A growing concern among crypto enthusiasts highlights a stark debate on Bitcoin's (BTC) future price choices. As BTC trades at approximately $124,774, many believe a significant correction is imminent, with potential drops of 70% to 80%.

Charts Spark Controversy

People are analyzing BTC's historical performance, noting that previous bear markets registered drops between 69% and 80%. Key metrics show:

  • Nov 2013: BTC peaked at $1,127, bottomed at $360 (-69%)

  • Dec 2017: Peak of $19,423, bottomed at $3,221 (-80%)

  • Nov 2021: Peak of $67,618, bottomed at $15,724 (-77%)

Taking these drops into account, some speculate a new bottom could be between $31k and $40k. "The averages suggest it’s reasonable, but is it realistic?" an analyst questioned.

Diverging Opinions on the Forum

Commenters expressed a mix of skepticism and support regarding the forecasts:

  • "People don’t know anything about predictions."

  • "Many investors are still in profit, so panic selling isn’t logical."

  • "It's all about market makers and their strategies."

Some people argued that charts hold less relevance in the current market climate. Sentiments varied widely, signaling confusion but also resilience among seasoned traders.

The Role of Institutional Investors

Many believe institutional investments complicate matters. "Institutions influence market dynamics significantly, often leading to irrational volatility. Everyone seems to be on edge while veteran investors stay the course, having weathered prior storms," opined one participant.

"It’s even worse with institutions jumping in. The old patterns might not apply anymore," another user added.

"Price action follows where market makers can make the most money, not necessarily reflecting sentiment from individual traders," noted a long-time commenter.

Key Takeaways

  • πŸ”» Average predicted drop could reach 70-80%, with potential bottom around $31k.

  • πŸ“‰ Mixed sentiment among people; some advise against panic selling.

  • πŸ’° Institutional investment is believed to drive current volatility.

Many in the community remain uncertain, debating whether historical patterns will repeat. As discussions continue, only time will tell where BTC's price will land.

Stay tuned for further updates as this developing story unfolds.

What Lies Ahead for Bitcoin Investors

With the possibility of Bitcoin plummeting to the $31,000 range, there's a strong chance that market volatility will persist. Analysts suggest there’s about a 70% probability for such a drop, given the historical trends observed during prior bear markets. This uncertainty may cause traders to hold off from aggressive buying, while institutional investors could shift their strategies amid ongoing fluctuations. If these patterns continue, we might also see further discussions around regulatory changes impacting crypto investment strategies. Overall, the combination of historical data and market sentiment paints a complex picture for Bitcoin’s near future.

History’s Echo in the Crypto Saga

In a different realm, consider the 2000 dot-com crash where many tech firms faced drastic declines. Just as some Bitcoin investors are feeling skittish now, tech investors then wrestled with market sentiment and overvaluation. Some companies that eventually revived had strong fundamentals hidden under layers of market chaos. Similar to Bitcoin’s current dilemma, not every fall signals the end; many moments of hesitance can precede remarkable comebacks, often based on enduring value rather than transient trends.