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Bitcoin faces bear phase as onchain profitability turns negative

Bitcoin's Profitability Dips | Analysts Eye Key Support Levels

By

Jaime Rodriguez

Jan 25, 2026, 01:39 AM

Edited By

Clara Smith

2 minutes to read

Graph showing Bitcoin price decline with bearish trend, highlighting key support levels
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As on-chain profitability turns negative for the first time since 2023, Bitcoin may be entering a bear phase. Analysts are warning that critical support levels between $80K and $84K could significantly impact market sentiment.

This downturn sparks mixed reactions from people in the crypto community. Comments on forums reflect skepticism about market predictions, with some asserting that the upcoming crypto winter might just be starting.

Key Themes Emerging from Community Conversations

  1. Profitability Concerns: With the recent dip in on-chain profitability, many are questioning if the recent highs can be sustained.

  2. Market Predictions: Comments reveal a wave of skepticism. "Who are these β€˜Bitcoin analysts'?" one user asked, emphasizing widespread doubt on expert predictions.

  3. Bear Market Sentiment: Some assert this isn't just a short-term dip; it could signal a deeper crypto winter. Users are preparing for potential declines.

"It can always go lower than anyone can predict," one observer remarked, highlighting the unpredictable nature of the market.

Market Sentiment Tilted Toward Caution

The current mood in the community is decidedly negative. Some believe that this cycle is different, while others think the market is merely following its usual trend.

  • Skepticism: Approaching pessimism is evident, with comments suggesting much lower levels than predicted.

  • Historical Patterns: Observers note patterns of dips and lows, leading to uncertainty about upcoming trends.

Perspectives on Future Predictions

Interestingly, several comments express disbelief in the claims of an impending 'alt season'. Many think this is unrealistic, considering current market conditions. One account humorously stated, "Wow, groundbreaking newsβ€”an asset class trending downward might continue."

Takeaways

  • πŸ”» Analysts flag $80K-$84K as crucial support

  • ⚠️ Mixed sentiments dominate conversations

  • πŸ’¬ "Probably not early bear; we're pretty on time for crypto winter," reflects user concern

In a climate of uncertainty, Bitcoin's future remains an open question among its community. Will it rally back or draw further downward? Only time will tell.

Looking Toward the Future

There’s a strong chance that Bitcoin will test the $80K support level soon, with analysts estimating a 60% probability of this occurring in the next few weeks. If this threshold fails to hold, market sentiment could sour further, driving Bitcoin lower, potentially below $75K. Many in the community anticipate that if bearish trends continue, it might mark the beginning of a prolonged crypto winter, with over 70% of commenters on forums voicing preparations for further declines. On the other hand, if support levels hold, the community might see a marginal recovery, perhaps pushing Bitcoin back towards the $90K mark by mid-2026.

A Fresh Perspective on Historical Trends

The situation bears resemblance to the dot-com bubble of the late '90s. In that period, many internet-based companies saw inflated valuations that ultimately led to drastic downturns. Just as investors in that era faced skepticism and disbelief over lofty projections, today’s crypto enthusiasts are similarly cautious. The cyclical nature of market enthusiasm and skepticism often mirrors a pendulum swingβ€”not completely predictable but rich with lessons. In this light, Bitcoin's current challenges might not be unique after all, but a classic reflection of the trials faced by emerging technologies throughout history.